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ADRIADAPT Deliverable: Detailed quantification of climate change signal in the region of interest with special emphasis on severe impacting events

Published on 29/06/2021 (last modified 14/07/2021)

This document (D3.3.1) provides a description of the projections of climate indicators over different periods and radiative scenarios based on data delivered by CMCC, Arpae and DHMZ to the ADRIADAPT project users, both in terms of dynamical (see deliverables D3.2.1), and statistical (see deliverable D3.2.2) downscaling outputs.

Within the ADRIADAPT project, the simulated data cover the period 1961 to 2100, following historical forcing up to 2005 and two different possible radiative emission scenarios to the end of the century: a business as usual (RCP8.5) and a more moderate one (RCP4.5). Result for future periods will be mainly presented as deviation from the base line historical period (1986-2005, named P0) over different time slices: 2021:2040, 2041:2060, 2061:2080, 2081:2100 named respectively P1, P2, P3, P4. The used tools are shortly presented in Section 2, the climatic variables delivered within the project are presented in Section 3, as recap of D3.2.1 and D3.2.2. Section 4 focuses on the projections resulting from the dynamical downscaling over the whole domain and section 5 focuses on projections over the case study cities, as resulting from both dynamical and statistical downscaling approach. Projections for the main parameters required by stakeholders and project users, case study by case study, have been considered.

Find out more: https://www.italy-croatia.eu/documents/275818/2773040/D.3.3.1_Adriadapt_Detailed+quantification+of+climate+change+signal+in+the+region+of+interest+with+special+emphasis+on+seve.pdf/1bfb77ba-5c78-7dd6-f414-561dcd007ed2?version=1.0&t=1624987075088.